Bayes Factor
What is Bayes Factor
- The Bayes factor is a measure used in Bayesian statistics to compare the evidence provided by data for two competing hypotheses.
- Given two hypotheses
(the null hypothesis) and (the alternative hypothesis), the Bayes factor is calculated as: $$BF_{1,0} = \frac{P(D|H_1)}{P(D|H_0)}$$, where is the probability of the data D given that the alternative hypothesis H1 is true, and is the probability of the data D given that the alternative hypothesis H0 is true. - It is like a Likelihood ratio test, except we integrate out the parameters, which allows us to compare models of different complexity.
Interpreting Bayes factors: Jeffreys scale of evidence
: anecdotal evidence for H1 : Moderate evidence for H1 : Strong evidence for H1 : Very strong evidence for H1